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Prediction markets
13 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$1.91M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$238
64 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
21%
chance
Yes
No
$1.99M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$122
61 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
<50
45%
50-74
45%
3 more
$67K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
43 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 1
52%
August 28
47%
37 more
NEW
$18K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$49
48 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
93%
20-40
5%
3 more
$235K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
53 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
49%
December
18%
5 more
$123K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$52
44 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$488K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$116
47 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
12%
5 more
$1.31M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
August 31
80%
August 15
63%
3 more
NEW
$9.5K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
45 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
98%
285M
73%
4 more
$14K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$65K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$96
50 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
<220
66%
220-229
18%
4 more
$8.2K
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
44 trading now
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